The Art and Science of Prediction
Forecasting is a part of everyday life. We’re always making decisions based on some expectation of future outcomes. But sad to say, most of us are pretty bad at it. Psychologist Philip Tetlock has devoted his career to changing that. He wants to know what makes some people incredibly good at making predictions—he calls them superforecasters—and then he wants to teach that talent to others. Tetlock joins us Thursday to explore how we can all be better decision makers and thus better thinkers.
Philip Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania and holds appointments in the psychology and political science departments and the Wharton School of Business. He’s the author of Expert Political Judgment. His new book is called Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Amazon|Indiebound].